Our betting expert Jones Knows bagged three correct results on Sunday, including a draw at Anfield. We are in a strange position with Newcastle where some fans must be wanting this current winless streak to continue in order to trigger a change of management. As long as Newcastle stay up, then is there really much wrong with that in terms of long-term prospects for the club? It's a debate for another day when we are all back in the pubs.
The tide is certainly starting to turn on Steve Bruce, which means one thing. Newcastle will start picking up results. The wily old fox of a boss is a master at pulling a result out of somewhere to turn the tide back in his favour.
Since taking the job he has never gone longer than a run of six games without a win - this game will be the seventh in that winless streak. Notebook: Newcastle fans bored and detached. Arsenal were back to their ponderous selves on Monday. Playing Newcastle basically mirrors playing Crystal Palace and with Mikel Arteta unlikely to change their style, it could be another frustrating evening in terms of chance creation.
The Gunners have won only one of their last seven Premier League games at The Emirates, taking just five points from the last 21 available. It was just over a week ago that Newcastle were holding Arteta's team to a in the FA Cup after 90 minutes where Andy Carroll, yes, Andy Carroll, provided the Toon with a big attacking weapon. I would like to see him play in a front two with Callum Wilson, who remains one of the clear positives when it comes to Bruce's side.
Despite having no affinity whatsoever for Sheffield United, even I afforded a fist-pump in their direction after their win over Newcastle. It would be a footballing catastrophe if they break Derby's record for the fewest points in a season 11 - we must fight against that. Interestingly, Derby's only win that season was at home to Newcastle. It was a victory for long-term performance data that showcased that the Blades remain a well-equipped side on their day and also a victory for being a good bloke in the case of Chris Wilder.
I'm certain they will provide a stern test for Tottenham, too. However, it's difficult to see Wilder's team creating enough big chances to test what is usually a watertight Spurs defence, who have conceded just 16 goals - only Man City 13 have conceded fewer. The Blades have lost 11 games by one goal while Spurs have beaten both Burnley and West Brom by a solitary goal on the road this season.
That will do again for Jose Mourinho, who will back his defence to keep out one of the most toothless attacks in Premier League history. It would be Spurs' first win at Bramall Lane since - a run of seven games without a win there. In situations like this, trying to not get carried away with the pre-match hullabaloo when it comes to finding intelligent betting angles is key. This one has the hallmarks of being a cagey affair.
Liverpool have the best Premier League home record this season - and are unbeaten in their last 67 league matches at Anfield - while Man Utd have the best away record in the division. So, what happens when an immovable object meets a force of nature? Stalemate, that's what. Surely "don't lose" will be the message rather than going all out to win it for both teams, especially in the Manchester United dressing room.
A draw will be a huge result for them. If the game gets to minutes and is all square, we could see a repeat of what happened in Man City vs Liverpool, where both were happy with a point. I will be backing the draw. There is value to be had elsewhere though. One area of football betting I have found to be quite profitable in recent years is the cards markets. The stats will tell you that Scott McTominay has yet to be booked this season but he's made 22 fouls, averaging over 2.
Unsurprisingly, he has made the most fouls without being booked of any current Premier League player this season. If you stretch it back to last season he has now on a run of 31 fouls without a card since being booked after 24 seconds on Boxing Day in vs Newcastle - which is the quickest booking since Opta started collating data in No doubt he will be tasked with breaking up Liverpool's play in midfield this weekend in what is likely to be a niggly encounter.
Liverpool always pack plenty of physicality and punch in their midfield and 12 opposition central midfielders have been booked vs Liverpool in their last 14 Premier League games. While the world and his wife get giddy over Liverpool and Manchester United playing out a "title decider", Manchester City and Pep Guardiola are quietly going about their business.
Stylistically, it's more bruising than beautiful this time around at City but it's taken them to eight games unbeaten in the Premier League, winning six of those. Conceding just three goals in their last 14 games in all competitions is quite frankly a ridiculous record. Palace are unbeaten in their last two visits to the Etihad Stadium though, scoring five times in those matches.
Roy Hodgson's sit and counter approach could work again - but they simply must get the first goal. I just cannot see it. With no central striker being preferred at the moment by Guardiola, De Bruyne is being asked to drive into the box at every opportunity and he has registered 10 shots in his two Premier League games playing that role, scoring at Chelsea and missing two big chances in the win over Brighton.
I'm assuming he will also regain penalty duties after Raheem Sterling's miss on Wednesday, too. He looks good for a goal. It's all gone a bit stale for Nuno Espirito Santo since Raul Jimenez suffered that horrific skull injury. I got my fingers truly burnt by them on Tuesday against Everton; they played without much attacking purpose as the Toffees were defensively in control throughout.
Wolves have lost five of their last eight Premier League games and not managed a clean sheet in 11 matches. It's hard to get a true handle on them as Sam Allardyce is still working out his best formula in terms of team selection. Both are missing for this one, too. Vardy is in the process of recovering from a hernia operation and could return to training later in the week.
Ndidi, meanwhile, suffered a minor hamstring tear in the draw at Everton. It's very hard to have faith in Everton from a prediction point of view considering their current problems in attacking areas. No wonder Dominic Calvert-Lewin hasn't scored for seven games, his creators in behind him are really struggling.
In their last six matches in the Premier League, Everton have created just 34 chances at goal - an average per game that puts them only above West Brom for that period in terms of chance creation. One area of strength remains set pieces though.
An area where Leeds notoriously struggle having conceded seven headed goals from corners and 10 in total from crosses - no team have conceded more via both routes. Yerry Mina has had five shots in his last four Premier League and looked primed to score his third goal of the season.
It's Everton set-piece prowess that puts me off siding with Leeds, who are showing a real ruthlessness in front of goal, scoring five goals from their last 18 shots, working out at an average of a goal every 3. Whether that sustainable though is more than debatable from what we know from Marcelo Bielsa's boys. I'm on the fence here. Some of my best work is based on plagiarising other people's ideas and odds compiler Mark Stinchcombe perfectly summed up my feelings on Twitter about many Premier League teams this week.
He pointed out that this league is filled with very defensively-minded teams playing conservative football that rely on fine margins for success. For example, West Ham have been on the right side of these margins more often than not this season, hence their inflated league position. In reality, there is not much between the likes of the Hammers, Everton and a whole host of teams, and I'd include bottom of the table Sheffield United in that bracket.
Of all the so-called surprise packages this season threatening a European charge, the only team that have backed up their league position with performances, both according to the eye and the data, is Aston Villa. They will stick around in the hunt. And, they are more than equipped to get past West Ham without much fuss.
Yes, West Ham won the reverse fixture but were flattered that day, registering just five shots on goal in an expected goal figure of just 0. Brighton have all the parts in place to be a progressive team in the Premier League over the next few years but they remain very flaky in this stage of their development under Graham Potter.
They almost managed to throw one of the most one-sided matches of the season away on Sunday when narrowly edging past Tottenham. Once they start becoming a bit more ruthless, they'll be a team to follow. Liverpool might spend a part of the game on the backfoot but will punish Brighton in the key moments of the match. Jamie Redknapp got it spot-on in his post-match analysis of Jose Mourinho's Tottenham after their limp showing at Brighton.
He said: "There are too many things I don't like right now when I look at this Tottenham side, with Jose's mannerisms, the way he puts little messages out to people. Not good signs to be honest, because they were flying earlier in the season.
Throw no Harry Kane into the mix and Mourinho looks to have a confidence-drained side that look no better than a mid-table outfit. Kane alleviates the creative load on Spurs' central midfielders but without him in the team, Pierre Emile-Hojberg is forced into doing a job that doesn't fit his industrious style.
It's easy to see Chelsea absolutely dominating the midfield battle in this one. Thomas Tuchel has added a bit of belief and energy into the Chelsea attacking ranks. This looks a perfect time to play Spurs to me. The market has moved very strongly in favour with Sheffield United ahead of this, arguably, season-defining match for both teams.
But, it's moved too far. The introduction of Mbaye Niang at half time against Fulham completely transformed the Baggies. He led the line brilliantly, linking with the very dangerous Matheus Pereira and created three chances for his teammates in 45 minutes. I'd say with those two in tandem, they carry the greater attacking threat of these two teams. It's hard not to factor in heavily Sheffield United's weakness from defending set-pieces too when shaping up this match-up.
Chris Wilder's boys have shipped seven from such situations this season and Ayermic Laporte and Ruben Dias both registered shots on Aaron Ramsdale's goal in the weekend defeat at City. Sam Allardyce will be exploiting this at every opportunity with Semi Ajayi three goals since Allardyce took over and Kyle Bartley scored at the weekend both given licence to go forward from every set piece or long throw delivered by Darnell Furlong.
After an game run of no draws at home, Arsenal now have seen two in their last three matches at The Emirates. Mikel Arteta's style is still heavily defensive focused which is by no means a bad thing in the long run. For years Arsenal have craved being hard to beat and Arteta may have just solved that problem.
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