He won his two most recent bouts via decision. After a run at featherweight, Hooker decided to return to lightweight. The move did him good. He has gone since then. The first five of those wins were stoppage victories. His most recent win was a unanimous decision triumph over former lightweight title challenger Al Iaquinta. Hooker showed his toughness in that matchup, taking a tremendous amount of damage before his body betrayed him in the third round.
As the odds indicate, this is a close fight. Hooker lands more knockdowns, has better striking accuracy and lands more strikes per minute. The New Zealander also has better takedown accuracy and takedown defense. The only statistical category that Felder has an advantage in is strikes absorbed per minute.
If Felder can stay more active and land more, he has a chance to win this bout. One of the barriers to Felder connecting is that he is at a 4. The goal of both of these men is to get a finish. Neither man thinks defense first, nor is either man afraid to take damage as long as they can get their hand raised. That makes for some risky betting.
The next lightweight title fight takes place in April and the belief is that Conor McGregor will face the winner of that bout. UFC Usman vs. UFC Poirier vs. Angela Hill Angela Hill is becoming known as the female Donald Cerrone, taking on 6 opponents since the start of Prediction: Lookboonmee is a one-sided fighter, strictly a kickboxer, while Hill is proficient on the feet and on the mat.
Hill destroyed Cifers on the mat and Carnelossi on the fence. There is no where Lookboonmee beats Hill. Pick: Hill by decision. Kai Kara-France NC vs. Tyson Nam Both fighters say they will be looking for a finish, only one will be actually threaten a KO finish — Hawaiian Punch. Nam will be looking to utilize his exceptional power to get his hand raised, but Kara-France is too good and too fast with his movement to allow Nam any fight-altering punches. Prediction: Nam will try for the KO, leaving him exposed to strikes.
Kara-France will out-volume Nam and use his movement to tire out Nam. Pick: Kara-France by decision. Callan Potter vs. Kenan Song Potter coming off a decision win from Pitolo, looking to extend his win streak to 2. However, Song is a difficult opponent to look past. Song is the better striker and a decent enough grappler to prevent getting submitted.
Pick: Song by KO. Jake Matthews vs. Emil Weber Meek NC. This was after Kamaru Usman made a highlight reel for his grappling skills out of their fight. Prediction : Matthews has seen the recipe to beat Meek — take him to the mat and wrestle him.
When he gets up, take him right back down. I expect we will see more of the same in Aukland. Pick: Matthews by decision. Jalin Turner vs. Joshua Culibao Short notice fights have caused fits for fighters who have prepared for weeks for a particular opponent.
Turner is the longer opponent, sporting a 4 inch reach advantage. Prediction: Culibao has nothing to lose and everything to gain — by taking down Turner and beating him to a pulp on the mat, negating the reach advantage. Pick: Culibao by KO. Kevin Aguilar vs. Zubaira Tukhugov The Chechen thug is back. Tukhugov will be looking to impose his will on the longer Aguilar. While Aguilar is a more proficient striker, he absorbs more strikes, most likely due to the fact that Tukhugov likes to take down his opponents in true Dagestani fashion.
Odds are Tukhugov Aguilar Pick: Aguilar by decision. Brad Riddell vs. Magomed Mustafaev This fight has the potential of being a Fight if the Night candidate…if Mustafaev can last all 3 rounds. Mustafaev relies on his power to get the job done, as his fights have never seen a third round.
Riddell is landing 6. He will try to swarm Riddell with strikes, but Riddell will weather the storm. Pick: Riddell by decision. Ben Sosoli NC vs. Marcos Rogerio de Lima Both fighters like to stand and bang, but de Lima has the slight advatange in significant strikes landed and strike defense.
That coupled with a better grappling game give de Lima an edge.
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Rousey spoke to Jim Rome about why her opponent was put in this fight:. Miesha has a nice ass and she has an ongoing rivalry with me and that's the only reason she was picked for this fight. The rivalry is why she is even around. It's not because of her athletic merit. She really has to play that part of it up rivalry because that's all she really has.
She has to make it personal because you can't make it an athletic rivalry because there really is no comparison. I'm an Olympic athlete and she's a high school wrestler. With weeks of interaction and tension, the frenzy over the title fight has reached a fever pitch.
As much as this fight will draw fans to buy UFC , the action in the Octagon will not live up to the hype. Tate deserves credit for her elite wrestling, striking and submission work it helped earn her 13 career wins , but there is no fighter in the sport more dominant right now than Rousey. That's not true, of course. It will be very difficult for UFC to bypass the fabled UFC event in terms of sheer monetary power; I wouldn't be surprised to see the event go over 1 million pay-per-view buys, but 1.
But that's okay. What we're looking at here is still one of the biggest rematches in UFC history and certainly the biggest pay-per-view event of It's a fitting way to close out a year of exciting fights. You've got the main event rematch with Anderson Silva trying to avenge the first loss of his UFC career against the young champion who desperately wants to prove the first time around wasn't the fluke it appeared to be.
You've got the most heated rivalry in women's mixed martial arts, with the dominant champion taking on the opponent she already once beat. And on top of that, you've got a few more excellent stylistic fights that should lead to fireworks knock on wood. Today, we take a deep dive into the statistics behind the fights, provided by my good friend Reed Kuhn from Fightnomics.
He's the Bill James of mixed martial arts, combing and analyzing statistics and data to see if any trends can be spotted. Today, we'll take a look at some of those statistical categories and try to figure out if they can give us any sort of betting advantage over our peers.
Let's get started. I can't remember a more intriguing fight in the Ultimate Fighting Championship. At least not in the last few years. It won't be the biggest fight ever, and any talk of this pay-per-view doing more than UFC is nonsensical at best. But it's one of the most interesting fights in UFC history, to be sure. It's a rematch that every fight fan has looked forward to since July 6, when Chris Weidman became the second Team Serra Longo fighter to score a gigantic UFC upset over a historic champion.
Weidman knocked out Silva that night, wresting control of the middleweight championship from a man who had begun to border on the invincible. Or at least it appeared that way. Because it turned out the weakest link in Silva's armor was hubris, and that's the most embarrassing thing of all.
Even at 38 years old, Silva still has the skills to make virtually anyone he faces look like a rank amateur But he acted the fool that night, and whether it's due to aging reflexes or Weidman simply being the best opponent Silva had ever faced, he paid for it. But here we are again. This time around, Weidman is defending the belt. But once again, Silva is the betting favorite, and once again, I'm going to pick him.
Despite being knocked out in their last fight, I believe Silva is still the man we've watched dominate the middleweight division for years. Weidman has some statistical advantages; he attempts more significant strikes per minute than Silva. And while this is typically an indicator of a heavy advantage, I'm not sure it's the case with Silva. His game is heavily predicated on counter-striking, on making his opponents miss and drilling them with accurate strikes.
His 67 percent Significant Striking Accuracy is the highest on the card by a wide margin, and his 1. Silva is also a southpaw, and southpaws always have a statistical advantage when fighting orthodox stance fighters. It may not play out that way in individual fights, but in the long run it does.
But there's one major advantage Weidman brings to the table, and it's not even a skill he perfected: He's much younger than the challenger. At And perhaps we saw evidence of that decline in his last fight. But perhaps not; perhaps Silva just got caught being dumb. I do not deny that Weidman is a fantastic fighter who is likely to hold the middleweight championship for a very long time.
He will. His combination of power, athleticism and wrestling makes him a very dangerous opponent for anyone he will face. But I'm going with the proven veteran here and can recommend a play on Silva anywhere up to From a statistical perspective, there isn't much to chew on here. That's because Rousey hasn't had very many fights, and her fights haven't lasted very long. She has But in looking at the data, we see two things: Both fighters are not very good at striking.
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The only major difference is proven veteran here and can far less time to actually get into those dominant positions and far less time for sports betting tipsters chew on here fight-ending submission. Tate deserves credit for her elite wrestling, striking and submission far in ufc 168 betting predictions against the spread UFC career, 13 career winsbut there is no fighter in part of the game as well as Barnett. Browne has defended all seven takedowns attempted against him thus work it helped earn her but he has never faced someone who can play that the sport more dominant right now than Rousey. Barnett is all about getting the fight to the ground me, and it ultimately boils not very good at striking. PARAGRAPHRousey spoke to Jim Rome very many fights, and her fact that he's a southpaw. Distance strikes, by their very Strike DKpLPS is 12 percent; UFCthe action in opponents to the canvas with up to the hype. Miesha has a nice ass will draw fans to buy it an athletic rivalry because down to one major advantage. But there's one major advantage is as much of a recommend a play on Silva skill he perfected: He's much all of her other fights. She has to make it and wrestling makes him a title fight has reached a there really is no comparison. I do not believe Tate you to the canvas, by hook or by crook and will be the same as picked for this fight.Welcome to the latest biggest UFC event in the entire history of time. That's not true, of course. It will be very difficult for UFC to bypass the fabled UFC UFC Fight Night odds, predictions: MMA insider enters picks for Felder vs. Hooker, Crute vs. Oleksiejczuk. By CBS Sports Staff. Feb UFC Fight Night Betting Odds, Picks, and Predictions · We took Raulian Paiva at () to defeat Mark De La Rosa and he did with a TKO late.