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Your best bets are the more complicated games of blackjack, craps, baccarat, and video poker, assuming you play them wisely. Your worst bets are the simple games of pure chance like keno, roulette, and the wheel of fortune. Don't bet money you can't afford to lose. Set a limit on your losses for both a table sitting and the duration of your trip. In other words apply good money management.
I would propose dividing your total stake by the number of sittings you estimate to have over the course of your stay. The result should be the maximum amount you are willing to lose at any given sitting. Don't hedge your bets. Avoid the urge to insure against events that will cause you to lose or push rather than win. The insurance bet in blackjack is a classic example, with an average house edge of 5.
Another example is the any craps bet with a house edge of I realize that in the real world decision making is governed by both maximizing return and minimizing risk, and I have no problem with that. However in most cases it makes good business sense to not insure risks you can cope with yourself. In the case of gambling the high cost of insurance starts adding up quickly.
To maximize long term return the best strategy is to take your chances with the bets with the lowest house edge. The long term cost of hedging your bets will be much more than the benefit they provide. If you are still too risk averse to avoid hedging then I would suggest taking your money to the change machine where you will have no risk at all. There is no system that can beat a game of pure chance. There are plenty of charlatans promising systems that can beat games of luck like roulette, craps, and even the lottery.
Most systems trade a lot of small wins for a few huge losses. In the long run it is impossible to beat the house at games of chance only. It pays to shop around for the best possible playing conditions. In many games, especially blackjack and video poker rules can vary from one casino to another and one state to another. Know what rules are favorable to the player and to seek them out.
Avoid the side bets and gimmicks. Good examples of side bets to ignore are those in Caribbean stud poker and let it ride. The games for this Euro qualifier will be played all over the continent which has slightly affected the odds for the group stages as some teams such as Spain, England, Italy, and Germany will play all their games on home turf.
This is likely because Group F is so unpredictable with France, Germany, and Portugal in the same group. That said, if France struggle in the group of the death, then there is every chance this paves the way for England to win their first-ever European trophy. And, there are some key points as to why the bookies have backed England to go all the way. Furthermore, if the Three Lions make it to the semi-finals, then all games from here on out will be played at Wembley.
With England playing in front of their home fans, this will give them a tremendous advantage. The team gained invaluable experience from their World Cup and Nations League semi-final appearances, so they are no strangers to pressure. There is no doubt England has great things to come in the future. Yet, it is probably too early, and too much of an ask given the current average age of the squad. However, if you are looking for a value bet, then arguably Italy and Belgium are the dark horses in this competition and certainly worth a shout.
Under new management, the four-time World Cup winners have not been beaten this year, won ten out of ten games in the UEFA Euro qualifying stage, and recorded an impressive haul of 33 goals in those ten games. Belgium is another good outside bet. Their odds are not great, but their chances of winning are high.
To add further fuel to the fire, this is the same team that knocked out Word Cup favourites Brazil in the quarter-finals. On top of this, Belgium topped their qualifying group with 40 goals scored and ten wins out of Group A: Italy looks sure to dominate their group leaving Switzerland, Turkey, and Wales to ponder on. Group B: Belgium are the favourites to progress, and most likely, Denmark. The good news for Denmark is that the team will be playing at home in the Parken Stadium — Copenhagen giving them the advantage.
Group C: The group is still not fully decided with the fourth team still not confirmed. Ukraine will likely come second, and even though Austria is a good side coming second in their Euro Qualifiers group, Ukraine topped their group convincingly!
Group D: England are most bookies and pundits second-favourites to win the tournament. That said, it will be difficult to predict the winners of this group as Croatia have already proven they can beat England after the World Cup semi-finals.
However, England is one of the host nations and play all their group games at Wembley. Group E: Spain is expected to top the group easily being another host nation playing all their games on home turf. This leaves the main tussle for the runners-up spot between Sweden and Poland. Much like Group E, France should come away with at least 4 points from their Germany and Portugal games.
That leaves the runners up spot to be decided when Germany play Portugal. Most likely Germany will take it as all their group games will be played in the Football Arena Munich. We all have our favourites, but it is all down to which teams with the best goal scorers will progress.
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