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Bayer Leverkusen take on Bayern Munich in the Bundesliga on Saturday in a crucial clash at the top of the table.

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But a look at the teams cumulative performance throughout the course of the season and the underlying numbers in those games suggest that the real gap between the two teams is larger than the four points indicate. By comparing their expected goals and team composition, Bayern has a significant edge almost everywhere on the pitch. Despite just Expected goals is an advanced statistic that gives an indication of whether results are based on sustainable factors like a steady creation of scoring chances, or whether it is down to aspects such as luck or outstanding goalkeeping.

And while its offense scored six goals in two matches, they were again benefiting from great finishing, as xG indicated they really only generated about 2. Bayern put any concerns about its sharpness to rest after thrashing Frankfurt on Saturday, conceding twice on corners but dominating the rest of the run of play.

On the pitch, Bayern have completely dominated this rivalry of late. Each of the last two years, when Dortmund and Bayern met in the spring with the title still in doubt, Bayern romped its Klassiker rival. In March , Bayern rolled , and in April , the defending champions won When the teams played earlier this season at Allianz Arena in Munich, Bayern won There may not be a single Dortmund player who would make it into the Bayern starting XI if the two teams were combined.

Dortmund may be the trendy upset pick playing at home, but thus far, the home-field advantage appears to be severely limited. While home teams won Sports Betting. Best Books. Baskonia is 11th on the table with six wins and seven losses. On the road, they have a record. Baskonia lost two of the previous three matches.

In the previous game, they lost on the road against Zalgiris. The home team dominated, so they secured another win. Youssoupha Fall had 14 points for Baskonia, while Alec Peters added two points less. Bayern is playing great at the moment, so I expect them to win on Friday evening against Baskonia. Match prediction: FC Bayern Munchen to win. Correct score prediction: 0 — 0. Get bonus. FC Bayern Munchen 3. Saski Baskonia 1.

Read Tip. Authorization Registration. December 18 77 : FC Bayern Munchen. Saski Baskonia. Do you Agree? Yes No 13 Votes. Thanks for your vote! Yes We provide correct score prediction as well: Correct score prediction: 0 — 0. Welcome Bonus Get bonus. Who will win? Last matches. FC Bayern Munchen Nick Weiler-Babb. Paul Zipser. Wade Baldwin IV.

Jalen Reynolds. Vladimir Lucic. Zoran Dragic. Achille Polonara. Pierria Henry. Alec Peters. Rokas Giedraitis.