Denver has also performed well as a home underdog of three points or less over the past decade, going SU and ATS in its last seven games under that scenario. The Packers are the better team, and Denver is not nearly as intimidating a place to play as Seattle, where they almost won the NFC Championship Game back in January with a hobbled Rodgers.
Watch for Green Bay to stay unbeaten and cover. All point spread and lines data courtesy of Odds Shark. All quotes gathered firsthand unless otherwise noted. Check out Twitter for injury and line movement updates and get the free odds tracker app. He needs some support from a running game that features some big names, just not big production. Willis McGahee leads the team with rushing yards but is averaging less than three yards per carry and the Broncos have just one rushing score as a team.
Eric Decker has emerged as a go to target with 15 grabs for yards and two touchdowns and plays a key role on special teams with one punt return for a score. He found Jermichael Finley for three scores last week with Finley close to the team lead in receptions and yards from the tight end position. Greg Jennings does lead with yards on 18 receptions but any Packer receiver can produce a big game if the others are taken away.
Ryan Grant looked good at Chicago but is questionable with a kidney bruise and James Starks will see added carries if Grant cannot go with both runners putting up similar numbers to this point. Bryan Bulaga is listed as questionable with a knee sprain and bruise but is not expected to play as of Wednesday. Denver looks to shake a pretty poor run of late as they are against the spread in the last seven road games with just four ATS wins in their last 15 games overall.
Green Bay is just the opposite with ATS records both in their last seven home games and overall and the home team is against the spread in the last five meetings between the teams. The Packers are on top of this weeks Sagarin ratings with the Broncos coming in at 23rd. Evergreens pick to cover the spread: Too many injuries and not enough playmakers make this one a tough prospect for the Broncos and while you have to be careful with any double digit line, Green Bay deserves that respect this week.
The Packers will give up yards, especially over the middle and a handful of points, but this one has written all over it. Go with the green and gold and lay the
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