16 game nfl parlay betting

Either the favorite or the underdog. You can do both, but that will appear pretty obvious and likely to get you cut off sooner. We are going to use typical two-team parlay odds, which pay 2. In the first half, they are likely to be 3. Our bets for this game would be:. Our goal here is just to win however many parlays we need to in order to turn a profit. This makes sense — otherwise, everyone would just win truck loads of money by betting parlays. The secret here is to increase our chances of winning the second piece of the parlay.

Logic would tell us that they would, however, hard data is even better. In all of these situations, if the team covers the first half line, they are much more likely to cover the game line. Your expected profit would be If bettors were allowed to wager on these, they would soon be out of business, as you are nearly guaranteed to make a profit over time with this method. I took a look at the four major spread sports and ran the numbers. I was trying to find any situations where if a favorite or underdog covered and the total hit more than Here is what I found.

A field goal or more favorite covering means a record of just 1,, for the OVER However, stretch it out to double digits and when the favorite covers the over only went There is no magic number with percentages here either. That makes sense. This makes sense. What happens when a big favorite is up at the end of the game? Both teams kill the clock and try to get out of there. Here is the data that I found. Favorites of 5. If you go up to favorites of 15 points or more that cover the under has hit When a team covers as a favorite of six or more the under went 4,, Favorites of eight or more that covered went under 3,, The Pittsburgh Steelers have fallen off a cliff offensively, and were utterly embarrassed last time out by the Cincinnati Bengals.

They are in their last four games, and averaging just seventeen points per game. They cannot run the ball anymore, and now their pass has collapsed too. The Colts, meanwhile, are averaging The Steelers might still have a strong defense, but it has been run ragged for the last month and will allow the Colts enough room to beat this generously small spread. Betting on the Panthers vs. Even if they are not at full speed, though, the Washington defense should help the team through against an ailing Panthers offense.

It is worth watching the Washington injury report, though, as should Smith and Gibson not return for this game then the Panthers would become the more attractive option. The first meeting of these two teams saw a huge come from behind win for the Broncos, as they edged the Chargers out Since then, it has been Denver who have slipped back while the Chargers look set for a bright future behind Justin Herbert.

Drew Lock is still struggling at quarterback for the Broncos. He may have had a standout four touchdown game against the Carolina Panthers, but even with that stat boost he only has eight touchdowns for seven interceptions in his last five starts. The Chargers have the seventh best pass defense too, allowing Our Pick: Los Angeles Chargers The Eagles are with Jalen Hurts starting at quarterback.

However, those losses are understandable coming at the hands of the playoff contending Green Bay Packers and Arizona Cardinals. Hurts has improved during his stint as starter after posting a one touchdown, one interception, yard game during is debut.

Last time out against the Cardinals, Hurts put up three touchdowns and passing yards. There is no doubting that the Dallas Cowboys have stabilized with Andy Dalton under center, though. In his last five starts, they have scored an average of 27 points per game and posted a record.

However, Dallas has had troubles against highly mobile quarterbacks, which Hurts certainly is. With Hurts finding his stride and leading his offense in a play style that the Cowboys are vulnerable to, expect the Eagles to come out on top in a high scoring encounter.

Our Pick: Philadelphia Eagles Bet with your head, not over it! Gambling Problem?

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Sports betting definitely isn't an exact science and there's a good amount of luck involved.

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It was their defense that was most impressive in that matchup as they held Jared Goff and this talented Rams offense to only 20 points on the day. This game could be pretty close if the Jets begin to play at an increased level to finish the season but otherwise it should be a Browns blowout victory behind their two outstanding running backs. Another great pick for this week is the Chicago Bears over the Jacksonville Jaguars.

Chicago changed their play calling duties a few weeks ago and it has worked wonders for their offense. Mitchell Trubisky has looked like a starting caliber quarterback while running back David Montgomery looks like a top five back in the league in recent weeks. This improvement on the offensive end has also helped them pick up the pace on defense as well.

This team is feeling themselves the last few weeks and should carry that momentum into this game against one of the worst teams in the league. They also lost rookie sensation James Robinson in the fourth quarter of that game due to an ankle injury and it is unclear whether or not he can play in this game. Even allowing fourth string quarterback Tyler Huntley to lead a scoring drive for this team.

Jacksonville has a bright future with a good number of young stars spread across their roster but as of right now they are one of the worst teams in the league with a below average coaching staff. Another thing to mention, with the Jets win last week, the Jaguars have now jumped them in the NFL draft rankings for the first pick in the draft this upcoming season.

You never know if a team is going to tank or not, but it could definitely be on the horizon for a team that is desperate to start winning again. You can pick the Chicago Bears with confidence in this game as they could potentially blow them out of the water this week. Bet HERE. Username or Email Address. Remember Me. Leading worldwide online sportsbook from Costa Rica. Contents show. Leave a Reply Cancel reply You must login in order to comment a review. Sign-up Bonus will be credited in a form of Free Play.

Promotion is valid on your first deposit only. Redeem the promo code MYB50 in the cashier in order to get this bonus. You must have a successful deposit in order to get the bonus credited to your free play balance. Going big this weekend with three home dogs I like to steal the game outright. They're playing against playoff teams in huge spots, so I know it's a reach to back these squads, but I like the ability of a stinky dog to skate past the road favorites here.

With all the indicators in my Wednesday column that favor the Bucs, they have to be featured in this space. On the other side, I took a longshot on Wednesday to pair with Tampa Bay, but in this space, I think it makes more sense to just aim for the surer thing in the Titans, who I believe will win outright.

I love getting a touchdown against a Miami team with a horrendous pass defense, leaving the backdoor wide open if we need it. And the Vikings pass defense hasn't been as crisp as it typically is, so I like that we're getting double digits with a Packers team that doesn't look as strong as its record but is still a good team overall.

I also don't mind teasing the Titans up or the Chiefs down if you're looking to add more to your teasers. By Will Brinson. Dec 20, at pm ET 2 min read. Brown Jr. Week 16 parlays and teasers to bet Will Brinson 2 min read. Power Rankings: Wrapping up season Pete Prisco 2 min read.