Best football stats for betting

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Competition between the outlets is fierce but with that, there is an incredible range of places you can go to find the numbers which bring context to the beautiful game, and the standard is very, very high. However, what gets them onto this list vast player history, which shows where a player has plied his trade, how many goals they scored and even how many cards they received in a simple and convenient one-page format.

Primarily set up to bring live scores and betting tips, the thing which really sets Infogol apart is their free-to-use Expected Goals xG maps. Primarily focused on the game Stateside, American Soccer Analysis ASA finds a comfortable spot on this list purely down to the sheer level of detail they put into their content.

From individual xG to the xG chain of an entire passing sequence, you can break down every single interaction with the ball from any given game with their incredible interactive and static tables. The Statsbomb team have been operating on the front edge of football analytics for some time now. Transfermarkt are the go-to site if you want to uncover the details behind a transfer, fees, wages and contract lengths and all. Does Mohamed Salah score more from the right or left flank?

How many goals has he scored against Chelsea, the club which cast him out? You can find it all on Transfermarkt. Who should Man Utd sign as an alternative to Jadon Sancho? Another of the best free-to-use platforms, Whoscored. Using Whoscored, you can rank players or teams by league in terms of tackles made, shots on target, goals and so much more. Even better, you can also display these numbers on per game, per 90 minutes, and per position played basis.

Squawka originally made their name as the go-to second screen for football fans, firing out unique stats from the biggest leagues across Europe to help you come become the king of your football group chat. From the Premier League to the Champions League, with so many other competitions in between, Opta are the kings when it comes to the numbers behind the game we all love. Passing is far more predictive of point differential than rushing because the average pass pay nets 6.

In fact, passing efficiency is the most predictive metric of score differential other than turnovers, which we know are almost impossible to predict in a vacuum, but l are much likely to occur on passes — where either an interception or fumble can occur — than on runs, where only a fumble is possible. Add it all together and you get early-down pass success rate as the most important metric I look at in a matchup of two teams. The odds of a successful passing play go way down under pressure, and the odds of a successful drive go way down with a sack, and pressure rate is better than sack rate at predicting future sacks.

Since certain quarterbacks are better than others at overcoming pressure, some offensive lines are better than others at preventing it, and some defenses are better than others at causing it, pressure rate is essentially my way of schedule-adjusting pass success rate.

When betting totals, the safest under bets will be based on low success rates coupled with low explosive play rates and vice-versa. But if that defense has been getting by more on not allowing big plays against below-average offenses and has a middling success rate, they could have minimal impact on an offense that excels at both play-to-play success and at producing explosive plays.

When I first sat down to think about this, I first thought about adjusted pace invaluable when betting totals as well as the importance of handicapping the matchups on both sides of the ball in the trenches with a variety of metrics such as adjusted sack rate, which also takes into account the impact a quarterback has in that department.

I also started to think about how important scheme is to me — types of man and zone defense, etc. However, after seeing the very smart things my colleagues have already mentioned, it finally dawned on me that I have to mention special teams. Field position matters, field goals swing covers and that hidden yardage can so often decide the outcome of a football game.

I personally set my own special teams power ratings for each team by looking at all of the obvious factors:. Not everyone wants to make their own special teams power ratings nor feels comfortable doing so, which is perfectly fine as there are stats you can reference online such as special teams DVOA. Or you can just manually compare special teams statistics such as net punting average, punts inside the 20 vs.

I also use it for handicapping totals. I also think special teams performance serves as a proxy for measuring the effectiveness of a coaching staff. Plus, field position and field goals matter. Sports Betting. Best Books. Action Network Staff. Download App. Over the long run, yards are more predictive of future points than previous points. Top Offers.

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