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Il Volo won the televote only to lose out due to a lower jury ranking. Since , is the most predictable contest so far according to the odds. Neither Donny Montell or Laura Tesoro was in the top 15 of the odds. Nevertheless, their slick, professional and upbeat performances wowed audiences on the night to overachieve against their odds! Therefore, it seems that the contest really is becoming more predictable…. However, clear favourites Italy were not able to live up to the hype placing 6th in the grand final.
The success of the rest of the top 5 was foreseen, with the clear exception of Moldova. The jury was not impressed with Verona in the second semi-final, ultimately causing the biggest shock from the semi-finals. Overall, this tells us that over the past eleven years, odds-to-win have become increasingly reliable at predicting which countries will finish both inside the top 5 and the top With the very accurate odds from , the trend has become more noticeable than ever before.
The most notable pattern when it came to discovering which type of entries tended to underperform at Eurovision were those countries who were being represented by returning artists. Perhaps this is because Eurovision fans are already familiar with these artists and therefore pay their entries more attention then they would do otherwise.
Returning artists often result in more fanfare on various media websites. Particularly the likes of Charlotte Perrelli, Niamh Kavanagh or Ira Losco who were previous winners and runner-ups returning for their nations. Talking about media coverage, well-known artists are also susceptible to being overhyped in the odds. A well-known artist being selected for Eurovision immediately results in more media coverage, whether it be Blue, Engelbert Humperdinck or Cascada.
This seems to immediately translate into more betting support than they should probably be getting, particularly when these acts are from Western European countries. I look forward to revisiting these conclusions next month when we can compare the odds from a month prior to the contest with what we have discovered here.
Furthermore, the data suggests that at least three of the current top 5 in the odds — Israel, Estonia, Czech Republic, Belgium and Sweden — will be top 5 in the grand final. Who will they be? Do let us know in the comments section below or via our social media pages if you have any thoughts about all of these statistics! Were you surprised to see DJ Bobo topping the odds in ? This site uses Akismet to reduce spam. Learn how your comment data is processed.
Are odds really a good indicator of the eventual results? OSLO Next, we look back at the odds ahead of the contest. Alex Florea — Yodel It! Therefore, it seems that the contest really is becoming more predictable… However, clear favourites Italy were not able to live up to the hype placing 6th in the grand final. Odds are becoming increasingly more accurate indicators Overall, this tells us that over the past eleven years, odds-to-win have become increasingly reliable at predicting which countries will finish both inside the top 5 and the top Noticeably, this was in the two most recent contests, in and Other observations The most notable pattern when it came to discovering which type of entries tended to underperform at Eurovision were those countries who were being represented by returning artists.
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Disagree Agree. Inline Feedbacks. Related Articles. November 22, Check Also. Facebook Twitter WhatsApp Telegram. SF 20th. SF 15th. SF 25th. SF 11th. SF 13th. SF 17th. SF 19th. Until Eurovision the limit was three. In Georgia decided to send the song "We Don't Wanna Put In" to the contest in Moscow, but because of a controversy about the lyrics in the song, EBU banned the song from participating, if the lyrics was not changed.
Georgia refused to change the lyrics, and withdrew from the contest. In there were four winners! They all had the same points, and back then there were no rules for a tie. If there's a tie today, the country with points from most countries will win. Follow Eurovisionworld. Eurovisionworld on Facebook. Ireland holds the record of most victories in Eurovision Song Contest: Seven victories! The six of these victories was in the 80s and 90s: , , , , , and Eurovision Quiz Are you a true Eurovision fan?
Lithuania The Roop - Discoteque. Bulgaria artist: Victoria. Switzerland artist: Gjon's Tears. Romania artist: Roxen. Malta artist: Destiny. Belgium artist: Hooverphonic. Greece Stefania - Last Dance. Cyprus Elena Tsagrinou - El Diablo. Australia artist: Montaigne. Azerbaijan artist: Samira Efendi. UK United Kingdom. Netherlands artist: Jeangu Macrooy. Germany artist: Jendrik Sigwart.