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The more wild movements stock markets make, the more we tend to notice how random those movements can be. Each color is an asset class. For example, real estate is gold, U. For each column-year, we stack best- to worst-performing asset classes top to bottom. So, in the column, U. With gyms restricted if not still closed, many of us have been coming up with creative ways to stay in shape. In fact, as our quilt chart conveys, there may be few faster ways to lose investment muscle.
Look at the quilt chart to see the long, purple losing streak for U. We were busy warning investors against giving up on U. In an April client letter, we commented:. Inferior returns, a weakening U. This could be a mistake. Six years of little to no growth in stock prices combined with robust corporate earnings growth have left large cap U.
How quickly tables and temptations can turn. Since , U. From Novel Investor , via Abnormal Returns :. They look for an encore, picking the best asset class last year with the hope of a repeat performance. Much of this is due to reversion to the mean. But over the long-term, those big swings even out. Diversification works to smooth out those big swings in the short-term. Source: NovelInvestor. Commodity Research Group CRG , founded by veteran analyst Edward Meir, is an independent research consultancy specializing in base and precious metals, as well energy products.
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